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Política 🗳️

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$1200.34M vol.
Gavin Newsom
24%
Jon Ossoff
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Kamala Harris
7%

+41 mais opções

Kennedy lidera mercado de indicação republicana 2028 com 33%, enquanto Vance cresce com 28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$659.45M vol.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
33%
J.D. Vance
22%
Marco Rubio
16%
Tucker Carlson
5%

+30 mais opções

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Elec…

$630.35M vol.
JD Vance
17%
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%

+33 mais opções

Mercado prevê pausa do Fed em junho; 86% apostam em manutenção de taxas

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$148.91M vol.
No change
100%

Fujimori lidera disputa presidencial peruana com 43% em mercado descentralizado

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Pre…

$102.93M vol.
Keiko Fujimori
98%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
1%

Bardella lidera disputa pela presidência francesa com 28% em mercado descentralizado

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential e…

$101.09M vol.
Jordan Bardella
26%
Édouard Philippe
20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
13%
Marine Le Pen
8%

+32 mais opções

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of…

$91.10M vol.
Nicolás Maduro
74%
Delcy Rodríguez
17%
María Corina Machado
4%
Edmundo González
1%

+2 mais opções

California Governor Election Winner

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the res…

$39.34M vol.
Xavier Becerra
87%
Steve Hilton
10%
Tom Steyer
1%

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% …

$37.42M vol.
Abelardo de la Espriella
58%
Candidate M
33%
Iván Cepeda Castro
8%

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Pr…

$22.08M vol.
Abiy Ahmed
97%
Shimelis Abdisa
1%
Adanech Abiebie
1%
Alesa Mengesha
1%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and s…

$17.23M vol.
Gadi Eizenkot
37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
32%
Naftali Bennett
17%
Avigdor Lieberman
5%

+4 mais opções

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026…

$16.16M vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
85%
Reza Pahlavi
3%
No Head of State
2%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
1%

+5 mais opções

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes pl…

$12.16M vol.
Switzerland
91%
No Meeting by June 30
5%
Qatar
4%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vo…

$11.83M vol.
Karen Bass
60%
Nithya Raman
39%
Spencer Pratt
1%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the gr…

$11.67M vol.
United Russia (ER)
56%
New People (NL)
35%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
3%

+1 mais opções

Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$10.91M vol.
No change
93%
25 bps decrease
4%
25 bps increase
3%
50+ bps decrease
1%

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count…

$10.26M vol.
Andy Burnham
75%
No Next PM in 2026
15%
Wes Streeting
2%
Angela Rayner
2%

+4 mais opções

Mercado aposta 61% em ausência de encontro Trump-Putin até junho de 2026

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM …

$8.52M vol.
No meeting by June 30
98%
United States
1%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Repr…

$7.93M vol.
Democrats Sweep
43%
R Senate, D House
36%
Republicans Sweep
16%
D Senate, R House
2%

+1 mais opções

Makerfield by-election Winner

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of in…

$6.81M vol.
Andy Burnham
88%
Robert Kenyon
13%
Rebecca Shepherd
1%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Fede…

$6.61M vol.
3.75%
39%
4.0%
31%
4.25%
11%
3.5%
8%

+6 mais opções

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Senate contro…

$2.76M vol.
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
43%

Berlin State Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the pol…

$2.71M vol.
CDU
32%
Grüne
25%
Linke
20%
AfD
16%

+1 mais opções

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party…

$2.64M vol.
≤47
27%
51
17%
49
15%
50
14%

+7 mais opções

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no m…

$2.62M vol.
No meeting before 2027
81%
US
5%
Qatar / UAE
4%
Saudi Arabia
2%

+8 mais opções

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Prima…

$2.44M vol.
Bert Mizusawa
62%
Kim Farington
14%
Chuck Smith
11%
Winsome Earle-Sears
7%

+3 mais opções

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between…

$2.40M vol.
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
90%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
6%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
2%

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for …

$2.29M vol.
Alexandru Nazare
21%
Adrian Veștea
16%
Sorin Grindeanu
13%
Cătălin Predoiu
5%

+11 mais opções

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed …

$2.12M vol.
Magdalena Andersson
74%
Ulf Kristersson
18%
Jimmie Åkesson
2%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will …

$43.69M vol.
Encerrado
BREAKING
Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 202824%Kennedy lidera mercado de indicação republicana 2028 com 33%, enquanto Vance cresce com 28%33% 0.0%Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição17%Mercado prevê pausa do Fed em junho; 86% apostam em manutenção de taxas100% 0.0%Fujimori lidera disputa presidencial peruana com 43% em mercado descentralizado98%Bardella lidera disputa pela presidência francesa com 28% em mercado descentralizado26%Venezuela leader end of 2026?74% 0.0%California Governor Election Winner87%Colombia Presidential Election58%Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?97% 0.0%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?37% 0.0%Iran leader end of 2026?85% 0.0%Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 202824%Kennedy lidera mercado de indicação republicana 2028 com 33%, enquanto Vance cresce com 28%33% 0.0%Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição17%Mercado prevê pausa do Fed em junho; 86% apostam em manutenção de taxas100% 0.0%Fujimori lidera disputa presidencial peruana com 43% em mercado descentralizado98%Bardella lidera disputa pela presidência francesa com 28% em mercado descentralizado26%Venezuela leader end of 2026?74% 0.0%California Governor Election Winner87%Colombia Presidential Election58%Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?97% 0.0%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?37% 0.0%Iran leader end of 2026?85% 0.0%