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Política 🗳️

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Ocasio-Cortez e Ossoff lideram probabilidades do indicativo democrata para 2028, mercado mostra dispersão

Ocasio-Cortez e Ossoff lideram probabilidades do indicativo democrata para 2028, mercado mostra dispersão

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$1302.36M vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Kamala Harris
6%

+18 mais opções

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Elec…

$723.97M vol.
JD Vance
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Gavin Newsom
11%
Jon Ossoff
10%

+19 mais opções

Mercado Precifica Vance com 41% de Chance na Disputa Republicana de 2028

Mercado Precifica Vance com 41% de Chance na Disputa Republicana de 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$719.94M vol.
J.D. Vance
38%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Tucker Carlson
3%

+8 mais opções

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential e…

$162.26M vol.
Marine Le Pen
41%
David Lisnard
19%
Édouard Philippe
12%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12%

+8 mais opções

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of…

$99.27M vol.
Nicolás Maduro
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
11%
No Head of State
2%
Gadi Eizenkot lidera as apostas para Primeiro-Ministro de Israel com 53%

Gadi Eizenkot lidera as apostas para Primeiro-Ministro de Israel com 53%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and s…

$82.44M vol.
Benjamin Netanyahu
39%
Gadi Eizenkot
36%
Avigdor Lieberman
6%
Naftali Bennett
5%

+2 mais opções

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Repr…

$49.44M vol.
Democrats Sweep
72%
R Senate, D House
23%
Republicans Sweep
5%
D Senate, R House
1%
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the res…

$43.78M vol.
Xavier Becerra
98%
Steve Hilton
2%
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026…

$40.61M vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
86%
No Head of State
5%
Reza Pahlavi
2%
Alireza Arafi
1%

+4 mais opções

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A p…

$35.18M vol.
95%
Democratic Party
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and…

$20.73M vol.
None
23%
IA, KS
11%
IA
10%
KS
4%

+35 mais opções

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vo…

$16.78M vol.
Encerrado
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control …

$13.64M vol.
73%
Democratic Party
Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed …

$10.68M vol.
Magdalena Andersson
71%
Ulf Kristersson
26%
Ebba Busch
2%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
2%
Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to …

$9.52M vol.
71%
James Talarico (D)
Mercado descentralizado aposta em expansão de operações israelenses para três países em 2026

Mercado descentralizado aposta em expansão de operações israelenses para três países em 2026

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 202…

$7.76M vol.
4
71%
5
21%
6
3%
7
1%

+3 mais opções

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Fede…

$7.13M vol.
4.25%
68%
4.0%
25%
≥ 4.5%
2%
3.75%
1%

+1 mais opções

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Michigan Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered …

$5.60M vol.
82%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election sched…

$4.37M vol.
≤47
47%
48
14%
49
11%
50
9%

+4 mais opções

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no m…

$4.09M vol.
No meeting before 2027
93%
US
3%
Qatar / UAE
1%
China
1%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resol…

$4.01M vol.
Dejan Šoškić
61%
Radomir Saičić
15%
Ilija Srdanović
12%
Aleksandar Vučić
2%

+3 mais opções

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next pr…

$3.28M vol.
83%
Iliana Iotova
Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to …

$3.17M vol.
68%
Troy Jackson (D)
Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taip…

$2.63M vol.
Chiang Wan-an
71%
Puma Shen
30%
Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resol…

$2.58M vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
85%
Pedro Sánchez
11%
Santiago Abascal
2%
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elec…

$2.54M vol.
66%
Democratic
Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A…

$2.42M vol.
74%
Sherrod Brown (D)
Alaska Senate Election Winner

Alaska Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3,…

$2.37M vol.
Mary Peltola
73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
28%
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a sche…

$2.19M vol.
None before 2027
67%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
13%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
5%
Lecornu - France PM
4%

+9 mais opções

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered …

$2.11M vol.
Pete Ricketts (R)
75%
Independent
26%