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Política 🗳️

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$1250.01M vol.
Gavin Newsom
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Jon Ossoff
14%
Kamala Harris
9%

+22 mais opções

Kennedy lidera mercado de indicação republicana 2028 com 33%, enquanto Vance cresce com 28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$682.53M vol.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
34%
J.D. Vance
31%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ron DeSantis
2%

+11 mais opções

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Elec…

$675.47M vol.
JD Vance
21%
Marco Rubio
13%
Gavin Newsom
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%

+22 mais opções

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Pr…

$265.19M vol.
Abiy Ahmed
95%
Gedion Timothewos
2%
Alesa Mengesha
1%
Shimelis Abdisa
1%

+1 mais opções

Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential e…

$116.96M vol.
Marine Le Pen
30%
Édouard Philippe
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
13%
Gabriel Attal
4%

+9 mais opções

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of…

$94.96M vol.
Nicolás Maduro
80%
Delcy Rodríguez
9%
No Head of State
5%
María Corina Machado
3%

+2 mais opções

California Governor Election Winner

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the res…

$40.49M vol.
Xavier Becerra
93%
Steve Hilton
6%

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026…

$37.39M vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
77%
No Head of State
8%
Alireza Arafi
4%
Reza Pahlavi
3%

+4 mais opções

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and s…

$30.61M vol.
Gadi Eizenkot
49%
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Naftali Bennett
7%
Avigdor Lieberman
4%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the gr…

$16.58M vol.
United Russia (ER)
64%
New People (NL)
29%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
4%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
3%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vo…

$13.07M vol.
Karen Bass
62%
Nithya Raman
38%

Fed Decision in September?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$10.35M vol.
25 bps increase
58%
No change
38%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps increase
2%

+1 mais opções

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Repr…

$9.12M vol.
Democrats Sweep
45%
R Senate, D House
42%
Republicans Sweep
13%
D Senate, R House
1%

+1 mais opções

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 202…

$8.93M vol.
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
14%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Fede…

$6.74M vol.
3.75%
31%
4.0%
30%
4.25%
15%
3.5%
12%

+8 mais opções

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Senate contro…

$3.59M vol.
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
44%

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and foll…

$3.40M vol.
No Meeting by September 30
39%
Switzerland
24%
Qatar
12%
Pakistan
10%

+11 mais opções

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed …

$3.36M vol.
Magdalena Andersson
81%
Ulf Kristersson
15%
Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for …

$3.25M vol.
Alexandru Nazare
35%
Sorin Grindeanu
16%
Ilie Bolojan
4%
Siegfried Mureșan
3%

+14 mais opções

Clacton by-election Winner

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Fa…

$3.18M vol.
Nigel Farage
5%
Person E
2%
Person F
2%
Person G
2%

+38 mais opções

Berlin State Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the pol…

$3.14M vol.
Linke
38%
CDU
27%
AfD
15%
Grüne
14%

+1 mais opções

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the gre…

$2.88M vol.
United Russia (ER)
97%
New People (NL)
1%

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no m…

$2.87M vol.
No meeting before 2027
92%
Switzerland
3%
US
1%
Qatar / UAE
1%

+1 mais opções

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party…

$2.74M vol.
≤47
24%
51
14%
49
14%
50
14%

+7 mais opções

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Prima…

$2.49M vol.
Bert Mizusawa
85%
Kim Farington
14%
David Williams
1%

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Flor…

$2.26M vol.
Byron Donalds
97%
James Fishback
2%
Jay Collins
1%

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elec…

$1.94M vol.
Democratic
60%
Republican
41%

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Prima…

$1.76M vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
97%
Haley Stevens
3%

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Fa…

$343.1K vol.
80%
Count Binface

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified d…

$2.04M vol.
41%
Sim