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Política 🗳️

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$1278.86M vol.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%
Gavin Newsom
18%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Kamala Harris
8%

+15 mais opções

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Elec…

$705.84M vol.
JD Vance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon Ossoff
12%
Marco Rubio
11%

+15 mais opções

Mercado Precifica Vance com 41% de Chance na Disputa Republicana de 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this marke…

$704.29M vol.
J.D. Vance
38%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
36%
Marco Rubio
12%
Tucker Carlson
3%

+5 mais opções

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Pr…

$285.82M vol.
Abiy Ahmed
98%
Gedion Timothewos
1%
Alesa Mengesha
1%

Fed Decision in September?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$178.70M vol.
25 bps increase
90%
No change
10%
50+ bps increase
1%

Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential e…

$133.97M vol.
Marine Le Pen
36%
Édouard Philippe
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12%
David Lisnard
7%

+9 mais opções

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of…

$96.09M vol.
Nicolás Maduro
83%
Delcy Rodríguez
13%
María Corina Machado
1%
No Head of State
1%

California Governor Election Winner

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the res…

$40.99M vol.
Xavier Becerra
95%
Steve Hilton
5%

Iran leader end of 2026?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026…

$39.47M vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
83%
No Head of State
5%
Reza Pahlavi
3%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%

+3 mais opções

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and s…

$37.56M vol.
Gadi Eizenkot
53%
Benjamin Netanyahu
30%
Naftali Bennett
10%
Avigdor Lieberman
5%

+1 mais opções

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the gr…

$28.95M vol.
United Russia (ER)
77%
New People (NL)
21%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vo…

$13.63M vol.
Karen Bass
66%
Nithya Raman
35%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Repr…

$12.12M vol.
Democrats Sweep
56%
R Senate, D House
33%
Republicans Sweep
11%
D Senate, R House
1%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A p…

$11.14M vol.
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed …

$7.86M vol.
Magdalena Andersson
88%
Ulf Kristersson
12%
Ebba Busch
1%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Fede…

$6.85M vol.
4.0%
34%
4.25%
33%
≥ 4.5%
19%
3.75%
7%

+3 mais opções

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and foll…

$5.72M vol.
No Meeting by September 30
91%
Pakistan
3%
Switzerland
2%
Oman
1%

+1 mais opções

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control …

$4.51M vol.
Democratic Party
59%
Republican Party
42%

Berlin State Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the pol…

$3.84M vol.
Linke
64%
CDU
26%
AfD
8%
Grüne
2%

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the gre…

$3.73M vol.
United Russia (ER)
99%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for …

$3.60M vol.
Alexandru Nazare
52%
Sorin Grindeanu
15%
Eugen Tomac
5%
Ilie Bolojan
3%

+5 mais opções

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no m…

$3.50M vol.
No meeting before 2027
92%
US
1%
Switzerland
1%
Turkey
1%

+3 mais opções

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the United States Senate as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election sched…

$2.92M vol.
≤47
32%
48
15%
49
13%
50
12%

+7 mais opções

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elec…

$2.32M vol.
Democratic
65%
Republican
34%

Maine Senate Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to …

$1.35M vol.
Troy Jackson (D)
71%
Susan Collins (R)
31%

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified d…

$2.45M vol.
54%
Sim

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff…

$5.36M vol.
0%
Sim

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff…

$38.49M vol.
4%
Sim

Mercado de predição fixa invasão dos EUA no Irã em 26%; liquidez limitada revela falta de convicção

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 202…

$66.25M vol.
17%
Sim

Mercado descentralizado precifica invasão chinesa de Taiwan em apenas 7% até fim de 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by De…

$41.54M vol.
4%
Sim