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Economia 📈

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Eme…

$45.97M vol.
0 (0 bps)
87%
1 (25 bps)
6%
2 (50 bps)
3%
3 (75 bps)
1%

Fed Decision in October?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$429.7K vol.
No change
69%
25 bps increase
23%
25 bps decrease
6%
50+ bps decrease
2%

+1 mais opções

July Inflation US - Annual

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This mar…

$222.1K vol.
3.4%
39%
3.3%
28%
3.5%
20%
3.2%
6%

+4 mais opções

Bank of England decision in September?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Po…

$103.0K vol.
No change
87%
25 bps increase
14%

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting …

$99.0K vol.
No change
98%
25 bps decrease
2%

July Inflation US - Monthly

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of L…

$80.2K vol.
≥0.1%
65%
0.0%
28%
-0.1%
5%

India Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics…

$75.7K vol.
4.50%+
69%
3.75% to 4.49%
13%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
<0.75%
4%

+3 mais opções

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by th…

$69.8K vol.
0.2%
35%
0.3%
25%
0.1%
22%
≤0.0%
7%

+3 mais opções

US economic state at the end of 2026?

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) report…

$63.4K vol.
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
54%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
33%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
7%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
6%

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estima…

$62.2K vol.
1-2%
57%
0-1%
39%
<0
3%
3-4%
1%

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exac…

$60.6K vol.
$345K+
34%
$340K - $345K
26%
$335K - $340K
25%
$330K - $335K
8%

+3 mais opções

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute o…

$56.4K vol.
3.50% to 3.99%
37%
4.00% to 4.49%
25%
4.50% to 4.99%
12%
3.00% to 3.49%
12%

+4 mais opções

GDP growth in 2026

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis…

$55.3K vol.
1.5–2.0%
38%
2.0–2.5%
31%
>2.5%
16%
<0.5%
8%

+2 mais opções

Bank of Israel decision in August?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israe…

$46.6K vol.
No Change
74%
25 bps cut
20%
50+ bps cut
5%
50+ bps hike
1%

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics…

$38.5K vol.
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
21%
3.8-4.1%
14%
4.7-5.0%
9%

+6 mais opções

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly…

$38.0K vol.
$1.089M - $1.125M
36%
$1.125M - $1.161M
23%
$1.053M - $1.089M
17%
$1.161M - $1.196M
10%

+3 mais opções

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as rep…

$34.1K vol.
0.0%–0.8%
39%
0.8%–1.6%
28%
1.6%–2.4%
7%
2.4%–3.2%
6%

+6 mais opções

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Stat…

$33.0K vol.
2.0–2.4%
29%
2.5–2.9%
29%
3.0-3.4%
16%
3.5-3.9%
12%

+4 mais opções

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, ch…

$32.8K vol.
2.0-2.4%
49%
≤1.9%
32%
4.0%+
9%
2.5-2.9%
7%

+2 mais opções

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exac…

$32.3K vol.
<$419K
38%
$419K - $426K
30%
$426K - $433K
22%
$433K - $440K
9%

+2 mais opções

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeti…

$29.4K vol.
No change
90%
25 bps decrease
9%

2026 World GDP Growth

This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in…

$29.2K vol.
≤2.9%
29%
3.0%
26%
3.1%
18%
3.4%
7%

+5 mais opções

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Ko…

$29.2K vol.
2.5–2.9%
27%
3.0–3.4%
27%
3.5–3.9%
23%
<2.0%
8%

+3 mais opções

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, rel…

$28.8K vol.
No Change
72%
Decrease
21%
Increase
3%

What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value f…

$26.9K vol.
$1.153M - $1.169M
29%
$1.185M - $1.201M
22%
$1.169M - $1.185M
20%
$1.137M - $1.153M
17%

+3 mais opções

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous…

$26.9K vol.
≤1.9%
65%
2.0-2.4%
31%
2.5-2.9%
3%

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the September 2026 interest rate announceme…

$24.8K vol.
No Change
93%
25 bps increase
3%
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
2%

+1 mais opções

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement…

$24.1K vol.
No Change
80%
25 bps increase
12%
25 bps decrease
8%

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Cens…

$23.8K vol.
800–900B
37%
700–800B
25%
900B–1T
15%
600–700B
7%

+4 mais opções

Core CPI YoY - July 2026

This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bure…

$23.6K vol.
2.4%
32%
2.5%
20%
2.6%
9%
2.8%
6%

+6 mais opções