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Economia 📈

90 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Eme…

$22.64M vol.
0 (0 bps)
56%
1 (25 bps)
18%
2 (50 bps)
12%
3 (75 bps)
7%

+3 mais opções

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank…

$204.0K vol.
Decrease
93%
No change
7%

April Inflation US - Annual

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This ma…

$186.2K vol.
3.7%
35%
3.8%
28%
3.6%
17%
3.5%
8%

+6 mais opções

India Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics…

$59.6K vol.
4.50%+
57%
3.75% to 4.49%
19%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
<0.75%
6%

+3 mais opções

Bank of England decision in June?

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to…

$58.7K vol.
No change
67%
25 bps increase
30%
50+ bps increase
1%

April Unemployment Rate

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployme…

$45.5K vol.
4.3%
34%
4.2%
26%
4.4%
19%
4.1%
7%

+3 mais opções

Price of Dozen Eggs in April?

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point i…

$41.0K vol.
$2.25–2.50
65%
$2.00–2.25
29%
$2.50–2.75
2%
$2.75–3.00
2%

+1 mais opções

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute o…

$40.9K vol.
4.00% to 4.49%
25%
4.50% to 4.99%
20%
5.00% to 5.49%
20%
5.50%+
13%

+4 mais opções

Mercado aposta em crescimento modesto dos EUA em 2026 com apenas 46% de confiança

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis…

$27.5K vol.
>2.5%
42%
1.5–2.0%
17%
2.0–2.5%
13%
1.0–1.5%
12%

+2 mais opções

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative …

$27.5K vol.
Decrease
53%
No Change
46%
Increase
1%

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q1 of 2026 compared with the same quarter a year ago i…

$25.7K vol.
0.6-0.9%
51%
0.3-0.6%
17%
0.9-1.2%
14%
1.2-1.5%
7%

+4 mais opções

April Inflation US - Monthly

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of L…

$23.4K vol.
0.6%
35%
0.5%
34%
0.7%
15%
0.4%
9%

+5 mais opções

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics…

$21.3K vol.
4.4-4.7%
14%
2.9-3.2%
13%
>5.0%
12%
2.6-2.9%
12%

+6 mais opções

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Cens…

$21.0K vol.
800–900B
36%
900B–1T
32%
<500B
10%
700–800B
8%

+4 mais opções

2026 World GDP Growth

This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in…

$16.7K vol.
3.7%+
24%
3.6%
23%
≤2.9%
23%
3.5%
10%

+5 mais opções

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Stat…

$16.1K vol.
2.5–2.9%
29%
2.0–2.4%
23%
3.5-3.9%
15%
1.0–1.4%
10%

+3 mais opções

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of …

$11.1K vol.
2.7% to 2.9%
22%
2.4% to 2.6%
20%
2.1% to 2.3%
18%
1.8% to 2.0%
18%

+3 mais opções

How many jobs added in April?

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, sche…

$8.9K vol.
0 – 50k
23%
100k – 150k
23%
150k – 200k
15%
-50k – 0
15%

+4 mais opções

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relativ…

$7.6K vol.
No Change
52%
Increase
39%
Decrease
6%

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by th…

$4.0K vol.
4.5%+
35%
4.0-4.4%
15%
3.5–3.9%
11%
2.0–2.4%
11%

+4 mais opções

Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?

This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Year-over-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan…

$3.8K vol.
0.9–1.1%
33%
0.0–0.2%
21%
1.2%+
19%
0.3–0.5%
14%

+3 mais opções

Argentina Monthly Inflation - April

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics an…

$2.9K vol.
2.5–2.7%
33%
≤2.1%
27%
2.2–2.4%
19%
2.8–3.0%
15%

+3 mais opções

US economic state at the end of 2026?

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) report…

$2.6K vol.
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
30%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
26%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
25%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
20%

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estima…

$2.0K vol.
0-1%
26%
5%+
18%
4-5%
18%
<0
17%

+3 mais opções

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the…

$2.0K vol.
2.0–2.5%
26%
1.5–2.0%
17%
<1.0%
16%
3.0–3.5%
14%

+3 mais opções

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank…

$2.0K vol.
No change
73%
Decrease
16%
Increase
11%

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported i…

$1.9K vol.
3.5–3.9%
25%
4.0–4.4%
18%
2.0–2.4%
12%
3.0–3.4%
12%

+4 mais opções

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s July monetary policy decision, relative…

$553 vol.
No Change
62%
Decrease
27%
Increase
11%

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of…

$203 vol.
No Change
66%
25 bps increase
25%
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
3%

+1 mais opções

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made b…

$164 vol.
Pause–Pause–Pause
22%
Cut–Cut–Pause
12%
Other
12%
Pause–Cut–Cut
11%

+5 mais opções