Antecipa

Mercado precifica Tarcísio com apenas 8% de chance na corrida presidencial de 2026

O mercado preditivo descentralizado Polymarket precifica a probabilidade de Tarcísio de Freitas se qualificar para o segundo turno das eleições presidenciais br…

$78.4K vol.

Mercado descentralizado precifica Flavio Bolsonaro com 82% de chance no segundo turno de 2026

Contratos no Polymarket indicam probabilidade de 82% para que Flavio Bolsonaro avance ao segundo turno das eleições presidenciais brasileiras de 2026, com capit…

$36.4K vol.

69%

Mercado desconta apenas 6% de chance para Michelle Bolsonaro no segundo turno de 2026

Os mercados preditivos descentralizados atribuem apenas 6% de probabilidade para que Michelle Bolsonaro avance ao segundo turno das eleições presidenciais brasi…

$27.4K vol.

Mercado vê apenas 3% de chance de Bolsonaro na segunda volta de 2026

Os mercados preditivos descentralizados estão precificando a probabilidade de Jair Bolsonaro avançar para o segundo turno das eleições presidenciais brasileiras…

$12.8K vol.

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of …

$9.2K vol.

17%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato

O mercado de previsões Polymarket está precificando Flávio Bolsonaro com probabilidade de 62% para terminar em segundo lugar na primeira volta da eleição presid…

Camilo Santana

+5 mais opções

Política 🗳️

Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 2028

O mercado de previsão descentralizado Polymarket avalia em 25% a probabilidade de Gavin Newsom, governador da Califórnia, conquistar a indicação presidencial de…

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

+41 mais opções

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

O mercado preditivo descentralizado da Polymarket para a eleição presidencial americana de 2028 precifica JD Vance com 22% de probabilidade implícita de vitória…

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

+33 mais opções

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff…

$6.67M vol.

Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes pl…

$12.16M vol.

Switzerland

91%

No Meeting by June 30

Qatar

Kennedy lidera mercado de indicação republicana 2028 com 33%, enquanto Vance cresce com 28%

O mercado descentralizado Polymarket precifica Robert F. Kennedy Jr. com 33% de probabilidade de conquistar a indicação presidencial republicana de 2028, seguid…

$659.45M vol.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

+30 mais opções

Maiores apostas do momento

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026

$11.44M

54%

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

$2.28M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026

$3.48M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026

$14.01M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026

$2.54M

45%

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

$1.12M

Tech 💻

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11…

$1.17M vol.

21%

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11…

$408.6K vol.

18%

Google lidera disputa por melhor modelo de IA até junho com 40% de probabilidade

O mercado de previsão descentralizado avalia qual empresa possuirá o melhor modelo de inteligência artificial até 30 de junho de 2026, com Google marcando 40% d…

Mercado descentralizado precifica NVIDIA com 75% de probabilidade como maior empresa em junho de 2026

O mercado de previsão Polymarket está negociando a questão sobre qual será a maior empresa do mundo por capitalização de mercado ao final de junho de 2026. NVID…

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes it…

+3 mais opções

2nd largest company end of June?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market w…

Mundo 🌍

Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala

This market refers to the tennis match between Donna Vekic and Alexandra Eala in the Grass Court Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM…

$1.10M vol.

Donna Vekic

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to …

$6.84M vol.

16%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff…

$6.67M vol.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This marke…

$820.3K vol.

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uzbekistan and Colombia, scheduled for June 17 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Uzbekistan and…

$716.0K vol.

51%

Over

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or …

$24.87M vol.

19%

Economia 📈

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Eme…

+1 mais opções

Mercado precifica apenas 23% de chance de Fed aumentar juros em 2026

Contratos na Polymarket sobre possível aumento de taxa de juros pelo Federal Reserve em 2026 refletem expectativa majoritária de manutenção da atual política mo…

$2.10M vol.

31%

Bitcoin price on June 17?

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified …

$214.7K vol.

87%

64,000-66,000

Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” …

$48.6K vol.

Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” …

$41.4K vol.

June Inflation US - Annual

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This mar…

+3 mais opções

Esportes ⚽