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Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Política

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russi

1United Russia (ER)
76%
2New People (NL)
20%
3Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
2%
4Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%
$29.12M vol.Leia a análise →

Também em destaque

🇧🇷 Brasil

Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza

Flávio Bolsonaro 53%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 44%+1

$150.41M vol.

Brasil 🇧🇷

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Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato

O mercado de previsões Polymarket está precificando Flávio Bolsonaro com probabilidade de 62% para terminar em segundo lugar na primeira volta da eleição presid…

$7.24M vol.
Flávio Bolsonaro
76%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
23%
Renan Santos
1%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the th…

$1.16M vol.
Augusto Cury
46%
Renan Santos
36%
Ronaldo Caiado
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro
1%

+2 mais opções

Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 2026

Contratos na Polymarket indicam 35% de probabilidade para uma margem de vitória menor que 5% para Lula da Silva na primeira volta das eleições presidenciais bra…

$483.1K vol.
Lula da Silva <5%
46%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
25%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
6%

+3 mais opções

Paraná Governor Election Winner

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majorit…

$169.4K vol.
Sergio Moro
15%
Candidate C
9%
Candidate D
9%
Candidate E
9%

+7 mais opções

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the mo…

$89.9K vol.
Lula
5%
Candidate A
3%
Candidate B
3%
Candidate C
3%

+25 mais opções

Bahia Governor Election Winner

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$152.8K vol.
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%

Política 🗳️

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Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential e…

$134.46M vol.
Marine Le Pen
36%
Édouard Philippe
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12%
David Lisnard
7%

+9 mais opções

Mercado de predição fixa invasão dos EUA no Irã em 26%; liquidez limitada revela falta de convicção

Contratos descentralizados na Polymarket precificam a probabilidade de invasão militar americana no Irã antes de 31 de dezembro de 2026 em 26%, contra 75% para …

$66.39M vol.
17%
Sim

Mercado de 2028 vê Vance favorito com 22%, enquanto capital de $352M aguarda definição

O mercado preditivo descentralizado da Polymarket para a eleição presidencial americana de 2028 precifica JD Vance com 22% de probabilidade implícita de vitória…

$706.03M vol.
JD Vance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon Ossoff
12%
Marco Rubio
11%

+15 mais opções

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A p…

$11.28M vol.
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and s…

$37.59M vol.
Gadi Eizenkot
53%
Benjamin Netanyahu
30%
Naftali Bennett
10%
Avigdor Lieberman
6%

+1 mais opções

Mercado descentralizado precifica invasão chinesa de Taiwan em apenas 7% até fim de 2026

Contratos negociados na Polymarket sobre uma possível invasão militar chinesa em Taiwan até dezembro de 2026 refletem probabilidade de apenas 7% para o cenário …

$41.56M vol.
4%
Sim

Maiores apostas do momento

5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026
$20.70M
0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
$1.02M
47%
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
$609.1K
0%
the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30
$5.41M
100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen
$416.6K
38%
Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
$363.7K

Tech 💻

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Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11…

$628.5K vol.
2%
Sim

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11…

$146.2K vol.
12%
Sim

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the tabl…

$3.40M vol.
Anthropic
15%
Company A
8%
Company B
8%
Company C
8%

+8 mais opções

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December …

$78.9K vol.
0
49%
2
22%
1
20%
3
7%

+2 mais opções

Largest Company end of September?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market wil…

$1.85M vol.
NVIDIA
10%
Company F
6%
Company G
6%
Company H
6%

+14 mais opções

NVIDIA lidera disputa por maior empresa em 2026 com 62% de probabilidade no mercado descentralizado

O mercado descentralizado de previsões Polymarket indica NVIDIA como favorita para encerrar 2026 como a maior empresa do mundo por capitalização de mercado, com…

$7.28M vol.
NVIDIA
69%
Apple
24%
Alphabet
7%
Microsoft
1%

+1 mais opções

Mundo 🌍

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UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed tea…

$34.10M vol.
Barcelona
20%
Liverpool
5%
Manchester United
3%
Atlético Madrid
2%

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by March 31, 2027, at 1…

$445.3K vol.
7%
Sim

Mercado precifica apenas 23% de chance de Fed aumentar juros em 2026

Contratos na Polymarket sobre possível aumento de taxa de juros pelo Federal Reserve em 2026 refletem expectativa majoritária de manutenção da atual política mo…

$9.76M vol.
96%
Sim

Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Gabriela Ce in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This ma…

$233.2K vol.
75%
Eva Lys

Portland State vs. Oregon

In the upcoming college football game between Portland State and Oregon, scheduled for September 18 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland State" …

$210.4K vol.
0%
Portland State

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A p…

$11.28M vol.
88%
Democratic Party

Economia 📈

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Mercado precifica apenas 23% de chance de Fed aumentar juros em 2026

Contratos na Polymarket sobre possível aumento de taxa de juros pelo Federal Reserve em 2026 refletem expectativa majoritária de manutenção da atual política mo…

$9.76M vol.
96%
Sim

US recession by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met: 1. The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GD…

$1.90M vol.
17%
Sim

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemploymen…

$133.8K vol.
10%
Sim

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of …

$984.5K vol.
92%
Sim

Fed Decision in December?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made…

$856.8K vol.
25 bps increase
59%
No change
35%
25 bps decrease
4%
50+ bps increase
2%

+1 mais opções

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Eme…

$52.56M vol.
0 (0 bps)
94%
1 (25 bps)
6%
2 (50 bps)
1%

Esportes ⚽

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UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed tea…

$34.10M vol.
Other
12%
Team H
12%
Team I
12%
Team J
12%

+11 mais opções

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 20…

$6.30M vol.
Barcelona
27%
Team A
20%
Team B
20%
Other
20%

+2 mais opções

NBA: 2027 Champion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at…

$21.79M vol.
Oklahoma City Thunder
21%
San Antonio Spurs
20%
New York Knicks
11%
Philadelphia 76ers
11%

+18 mais opções

MLB World Series Champion 2026

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 ML…

$40.63M vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
31%
Milwaukee Brewers
15%
New York Yankees
10%
Tampa Bay Rays
9%

+10 mais opções

EPL: 2027 Champion

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a lis…

$16.11M vol.
Arsenal
19%
Team A
17%
Team B
17%
Team C
17%

+4 mais opções

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolv…

$7.92M vol.
Player A
2%
Player B
2%
Player C
2%
Player D
2%

+51 mais opções

BREAKING
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?76%▼ 0.0%Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 202817%▲ 0.0%Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza54%▼ 0.0%Fed Decision in October?62%FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club93%▲ 0.0%Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%▼ 0.2%Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels0%▼ 0.6%Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks47%▲ 0.0%Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?0%▼ 0.0%Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen100%▲ 0.6%Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva38%▲ 0.1%Mercado precifica apenas 23% de chance de Fed aumentar juros em 202696%▲ 0.0%Mercado de predição fixa invasão dos EUA no Irã em 26%; liquidez limitada revela falta de convicção17%Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce75%▼ 0.1%Portland State vs. Oregon0%▼ 0.0%W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis50%Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka100%▲ 0.2%Mercado descentralizado precifica invasão chinesa de Taiwan em apenas 7% até fim de 20264%▼ 0.0%US recession by end of 2026?17%▲ 0.1%Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?100%▲ 0.3%Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?76%▼ 0.0%Mercado precifica Newsom com 25% de chances na disputa pela indicação democrata de 202817%▲ 0.0%Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza54%▼ 0.0%Fed Decision in October?62%FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club93%▲ 0.0%Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%▼ 0.2%Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels0%▼ 0.6%Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks47%▲ 0.0%Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?0%▼ 0.0%Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen100%▲ 0.6%Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva38%▲ 0.1%Mercado precifica apenas 23% de chance de Fed aumentar juros em 202696%▲ 0.0%Mercado de predição fixa invasão dos EUA no Irã em 26%; liquidez limitada revela falta de convicção17%Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce75%▼ 0.1%Portland State vs. Oregon0%▼ 0.0%W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis50%Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka100%▲ 0.2%Mercado descentralizado precifica invasão chinesa de Taiwan em apenas 7% até fim de 20264%▼ 0.0%US recession by end of 2026?17%▲ 0.1%Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?100%▲ 0.3%