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Brasil 🇧🇷

25 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this elec…

$63.62M vol.
Flávio Bolsonaro
42%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
38%
Renan Santos
5%
Romeu Zema
4%

+4 mais opções

Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the se…

$3.38M vol.
Flávio Bolsonaro
66%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
18%
Renan Santos
4%
Fernando Haddad
4%

+4 mais opções

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the th…

$264.4K vol.
Romeu Zema
35%
Renan Santos
35%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Fernando Haddad
4%

+3 mais opções

Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 2026

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$252.5K vol.
PL
80%
PSD
5%
UNIÃO
4%
NOVO
3%

+6 mais opções

Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 2026

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top tw…

$228.2K vol.
Lula da Silva <5%
24%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
17%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
15%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
13%

+6 mais opções

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 …

$75.5K vol.
Decrease
77%
No Change
22%
Increase
1%

Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geogr…

$56.8K vol.
5.00-5.49%
24%
4.50-4.99%
15%
6.00-6.49%
12%
6.50-6.99%
12%

+6 mais opções

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in…

$19.5K vol.
1.5%–1.8%
38%
1.9%–2.2%
34%
2.3%–2.6%
7%
≥2.7%
6%

+3 mais opções

Ceará Governor Election Winner

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$16.2K vol.
Ciro Gomes
42%
Elmano de Freitas
23%
Eduardo Girão
16%
Roberto Cláudio
13%

+2 mais opções

PL domina apostas sobre Senado 2026; mercado precifica força em distrito eleitoral

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$12.5K vol.
PL
23%
PSDB
12%
UNIÃO
11%
PP
11%

+8 mais opções

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majo…

$7.7K vol.
Tarcísio de Freitas
81%
Fernando Haddad
16%
Kim Kataguiri
2%
Erika Hilton
1%

Bahia Governor Election Winner

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$5.1K vol.
ACM Neto
60%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
32%
José Carlos Aleluia
5%
Kleber Rosa
2%

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political part…

$4.7K vol.
PL
73%
UPB
10%
REPUBLICANOS
4%
MDB
3%

+6 mais opções

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a m…

$3.3K vol.
Cleitinho Azevedo
47%
Benoni Mendes
19%
Rodrigo Pacheco
13%
Mateus Simões
10%

+2 mais opções

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s…

$22 vol.
No Change
32%
25 bps decrease
30%
50+ bps decrease
26%
25 bps increase
6%

+1 mais opções

Mercado precifica Tarcísio com apenas 8% de chance na corrida presidencial de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$71.4K vol.
2%
Sim

Mercado precifica 83% de chance de Lula chegar ao segundo turno em 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$129.0K vol.
76%
Sim

Mercado vê apenas 3% de chance de Bolsonaro na segunda volta de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$9.5K vol.
2%
Sim

Mercado precifica Haddad com apenas 15% de chance na segunda volta de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$49.6K vol.
6%
Sim

Mercado desconta apenas 6% de chance para Michelle Bolsonaro no segundo turno de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$24.4K vol.
3%
Sim

Mercado descentralizado precifica Flavio Bolsonaro com 82% de chance no segundo turno de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$17.0K vol.
87%
Sim

Impeachment de ministro do STF tem apenas 19% de probabilidade até 2027, mostra mercado preditor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a…

$64.6K vol.
14%
Sim

Mercado desconta vitória em primeiro turno no Brasil 2026 em apenas 14%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid vot…

$62.8K vol.
9%
Sim

Mercado aposta em saída de Moraes do STF antes de 2027; capital real sinaliza ceticismo

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation…

$27.3K vol.
14%
Sim

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with…

$5.5K vol.
81%
Sim
BREAKING
Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza42%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato66% 0.0%Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place35%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202680% 0.0%Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 202624% 0.1%Bank of Brazil Decision in June?77% 0.0%Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade24%Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?38%Ceará Governor Election Winner42% 0.0%PL domina apostas sobre Senado 2026; mercado precifica força em distrito eleitoral23% 0.2%São Paulo Governor Election Winner81% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner60% 0.0%Bolsonaro e Lula em empate técnico para 2026; mercado descentralizado reflete incerteza42%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato66% 0.0%Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place35%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202680% 0.0%Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 202624% 0.1%Bank of Brazil Decision in June?77% 0.0%Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade24%Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?38%Ceará Governor Election Winner42% 0.0%PL domina apostas sobre Senado 2026; mercado precifica força em distrito eleitoral23% 0.2%São Paulo Governor Election Winner81% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner60% 0.0%