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Brasil 🇧🇷

48 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this elec…

$100.88M vol.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
50%
Flávio Bolsonaro
24%
Renan Santos
15%
Ronaldo Caiado
2%

+5 mais opções

Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the se…

$3.72M vol.
Flávio Bolsonaro
70%
Renan Santos
14%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
4%
Camilo Santana
3%

+5 mais opções

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 …

$387.1K vol.
Decrease
60%
Increase
32%
No Change
8%

Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the th…

$326.2K vol.
Renan Santos
56%
Romeu Zema
14%
Ronaldo Caiado
14%
Flávio Bolsonaro
7%

+3 mais opções

Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 2026

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$256.3K vol.
PL
67%
MDB
13%
UNIÃO
10%
PT
3%

+4 mais opções

Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 2026

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top tw…

$244.0K vol.
Lula da Silva <5%
35%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
35%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
10%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
8%

+4 mais opções

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majo…

$85.5K vol.
Tarcísio de Freitas
87%
Kim Kataguiri
9%
Fernando Haddad
4%

Ceará Governor Election Winner

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$82.0K vol.
Ciro Gomes
70%
Elmano de Freitas
20%
Camilo Santana
1%

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receive…

$68.0K vol.
Juliana Brizola
43%
Luciano Zucco
42%
Gabriel Souza
5%

Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geogr…

$65.5K vol.
5.00-5.49%
24%
6.00-6.49%
24%
5.50-5.99%
20%
4.50-4.99%
11%

+6 mais opções

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a m…

$64.8K vol.
Cleitinho Azevedo
67%
Mateus Simões
10%
Rodrigo Pacheco
7%
Gabriel Azevedo
5%

+5 mais opções

Bahia Governor Election Winner

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$38.3K vol.
Jerônimo Rodrigues
56%
ACM Neto
44%

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s…

$22.0K vol.
No Change
66%
25 bps decrease
28%
50+ bps decrease
4%
50+ bps increase
2%

+1 mais opções

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political part…

$15.7K vol.
PL
90%
UPB
3%
MISSÃO
3%
FE Brasil
2%

PL domina apostas sobre Senado 2026; mercado precifica força em distrito eleitoral

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$14.4K vol.
PL
70%
PP
6%
PT
3%
PSDB
3%

+8 mais opções

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$12.9K vol.
Douglas Ruas
8%
Candidate H
8%
Candidate I
8%
Candidate G
8%

+16 mais opções

Paraíba Governor Election Winner

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majori…

$9.0K vol.
Candidate A
8%
Candidate G
8%
Candidate I
8%
Other
8%

+12 mais opções

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$9.0K vol.
Jorginho Mello
14%
Candidate D
8%
Candidate G
8%
Candidate C
8%

+9 mais opções

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$2.2K vol.
Ricardo Ferraço
8%
Candidate D
8%
Candidate H
8%
Candidate J
8%

+10 mais opções

Paraná Governor Election Winner

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majorit…

$1.5K vol.
Sergio Moro
12%
Candidate G
8%
Candidate A
8%
Candidate C
8%

+11 mais opções

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of …

$587 vol.
1.2%–1.4%
17%
≥1.5%
17%
0.0%–0.2%
16%
0.3%–0.5%
16%

+3 mais opções

Mercado precifica Tarcísio com apenas 8% de chance na corrida presidencial de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$78.4K vol.
3%
Sim

Mercado precifica 83% de chance de Lula chegar ao segundo turno em 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$176.7K vol.
86%
Sim

Mercado vê apenas 3% de chance de Bolsonaro na segunda volta de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$12.8K vol.
2%
Sim

Mercado precifica Haddad com apenas 15% de chance na segunda volta de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$59.2K vol.
6%
Sim

Mercado desconta apenas 6% de chance para Michelle Bolsonaro no segundo turno de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$27.4K vol.
4%
Sim

Mercado descentralizado precifica Flavio Bolsonaro com 82% de chance no segundo turno de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$36.4K vol.
69%
Sim

Impeachment de ministro do STF tem apenas 19% de probabilidade até 2027, mostra mercado preditor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a…

$81.7K vol.
2%
Sim

Mercado desconta vitória em primeiro turno no Brasil 2026 em apenas 14%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid vot…

$75.7K vol.
19%
Sim

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with…

$57.2K vol.
88%
Sim
BREAKING
Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado50%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato70% 0.0%Bank of Brazil Decision in June?60% 0.5%Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema56%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202667% 0.0%Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 202635% 0.0%São Paulo Governor Election Winner87%Ceará Governor Election Winner70% 0.0%Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner43%Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade24% 0.0%Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner67% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner56% 0.1%Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado50%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato70% 0.0%Bank of Brazil Decision in June?60% 0.5%Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema56%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202667% 0.0%Mercado descentralizado aposta em vitória apertada de Lula em 202635% 0.0%São Paulo Governor Election Winner87%Ceará Governor Election Winner70% 0.0%Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner43%Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade24% 0.0%Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner67% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner56% 0.1%