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Brasil 🇧🇷

53 mercados ativos · Dados: Polymarket

Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this elec…

$117.52M vol.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
64%
Flávio Bolsonaro
24%
Renan Santos
7%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%

+1 mais opções

Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the se…

$4.38M vol.
Flávio Bolsonaro
78%
Renan Santos
8%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%
Camilo Santana
1%

+4 mais opções

Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the th…

$485.8K vol.
Renan Santos
62%
Ronaldo Caiado
23%
Flávio Bolsonaro
5%
Romeu Zema
5%

+3 mais opções

Mercado precifica Lula com 46% de chance de vencer 2026 com margem de 5-10%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top tw…

$300.1K vol.
Lula da Silva 5-10%
35%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
30%
Lula da Silva <5%
15%
Lula da Silva 15%+
10%

+5 mais opções

Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 2026

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$292.6K vol.
PL
73%
MDB
23%
UNIÃO
1%
PSD
1%

+1 mais opções

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$272.4K vol.
Eduardo Paes
21%
Candidate E
11%
Candidate F
11%
Candidate G
11%

+5 mais opções

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majo…

$246.9K vol.
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Fernando Haddad
5%
Erika Hilton
1%

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s…

$210.5K vol.
25 bps decrease
98%
No Change
2%
50+ bps decrease
1%

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a m…

$145.0K vol.
Cleitinho Azevedo
50%
Mateus Simões
23%
Alexandre Kalil
10%
Gabriel Azevedo
5%

+6 mais opções

Ceará Governor Election Winner

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$115.0K vol.
Ciro Gomes
69%
Elmano de Freitas
26%
Camilo Santana
2%
Eduardo Girão
1%

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$104.3K vol.
Jorginho Mello
14%
Candidate A
8%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%

+10 mais opções

Bahia Governor Election Winner

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$96.4K vol.
Jerônimo Rodrigues
55%
ACM Neto
46%

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receive…

$89.5K vol.
Luciano Zucco
61%
Juliana Brizola
35%
Gabriel Souza
4%

Mercado prevê inflação brasileira entre 5% e 5,5% em 2026 com 41% de probabilidade

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geogr…

$80.9K vol.
5.00-5.49%
38%
4.50-4.99%
34%
4.00-4.49%
7%
5.50-5.99%
6%

+6 mais opções

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political part…

$58.8K vol.
PL
74%
UPB
21%
MISSÃO
2%
FE Brasil
1%

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazi…

$49.6K vol.
25 bps decrease
77%
No Change
18%
50+ bps decrease
2%

Paraíba Governor Election Winner

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majori…

$36.9K vol.
Lucas Ribeiro
10%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%
Candidate D
8%

+9 mais opções

Paraná Governor Election Winner

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majorit…

$31.7K vol.
Sergio Moro
14%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%
Candidate D
8%

+10 mais opções

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of …

$24.7K vol.
0.3%–0.5%
53%
0.6%–0.8%
26%
0.0%–0.2%
12%
0.9%–1.1%
3%

+2 mais opções

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a maj…

$24.1K vol.
Raquel Lyra
11%
Candidate A
9%
Candidate B
9%
Candidate C
9%

+7 mais opções

Pará Governor Election Winner

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority …

$22.2K vol.
Candidate A
8%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%
Candidate D
8%

+11 mais opções

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a major…

$20.3K vol.
Eduardo Braide
12%
Candidate A
8%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%

+9 mais opções

PL domina apostas sobre Senado 2026; mercado precifica força em distrito eleitoral

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This …

$20.2K vol.
PL
87%
UNIÃO
5%
PP
5%
MDB
1%

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a…

$13.0K vol.
Ricardo Ferraço
10%
Candidate A
8%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%

+10 mais opções

Goiás Governor Election Winner

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority…

$3.4K vol.
Daniel Vilela
13%
Candidate A
8%
Candidate B
8%
Candidate C
8%

+12 mais opções

Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$154 vol.
4%
Sim

Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$486 vol.
5%
Sim

Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$2.0K vol.
11%
Sim

Mercado precifica Tarcísio com apenas 8% de chance na corrida presidencial de 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$80.7K vol.
1%
Sim

Mercado precifica 83% de chance de Lula chegar ao segundo turno em 2026

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to …

$204.0K vol.
95%
Sim
BREAKING
Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado64% 0.0%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato78%Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema62%Mercado precifica Lula com 46% de chance de vencer 2026 com margem de 5-10%35% 0.0%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202673% 0.0%Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner21%São Paulo Governor Election Winner94%Bank of Brazil decision in August?98%Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner50% 0.1%Ceará Governor Election Winner69% 0.0%Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner 14% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner55% 0.0%Lula lidera disputa presidencial de 2026 com 47% em mercado descentralizado64% 0.0%Mercado prevê Flávio Bolsonaro com 62% para vice em 2026; capital real e baixa liquidez marcam contrato78%Mercado de Terceira Posição em 2026 Aponta Disputa Aberta Entre Renan Santos e Zema62%Mercado precifica Lula com 46% de chance de vencer 2026 com margem de 5-10%35% 0.0%Mercado precifica PL com 70% de chance de vencer eleições para Senado em 202673% 0.0%Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner21%São Paulo Governor Election Winner94%Bank of Brazil decision in August?98%Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner50% 0.1%Ceará Governor Election Winner69% 0.0%Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner 14% 0.0%Bahia Governor Election Winner55% 0.0%